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Estimates of economic impact of the regulation of smoking in public places in Scotland

Research commissioned by the Executive/NHS Health Scotland from the Health Economic Research Unit at the University of Aberdeen

  • Studies of the impact of smoking restrictions on the hospitality sector (hotel, bars and restaurants) have failed to find any statistically significant effect
  • The studies do not rule out the possibility of much smaller negative effects for some businesses or small areas, which are balanced out by gains elsewhere
  • Estimates of the effect on the hospitality sector in Scotland lie between -£104m to +£299m, with a central estimate of +£97m
  • Other economic impacts include savings to the NHS, productivity gains from sickness absence, smoking breaks, savings on fire damage and cleaning costs
  • The total effect of eliminating exposure to ETS lies in the range +£23m to £555m, with the central estimate being +£335m

Economic impact of New York ban

  • One year after implementing a ban in bars and restaurants, tax receipts are up, employment is up, openings are up, and the numbers of liquor licences are up – according to a comprehensive review which took account of data over time, trends and seasonal adjustments

Economic impact of Irish ban

  • Official statistics suggest that the volume of bar sales were down 1.3% in the 3 months following the ban, but against a backdrop of falling sales before the introduction of the ban. Recent alcohol price rises and changing drinking patterns have contributed to the fall in sales
  • The tourist trade in Ireland reported a 3.4% increase in overseas visitors in the first three months of the ban
  • A survey undertaken at 3 months reports that visits to pubs were slightly up, due to increased non-smoker visits.

Advice on Quitting

Smokeline Scotland
Call 0800 848484
12 noon to 12 midnight, seven days a week.